Why Today’s Foreclosure Numbers Won’t Trigger a Crash

<article class="post-1243503 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry" id="post-1243503"><span class="entry-date">October 24, 2024</span><div class="entry-header center-block text-center"><h1 class="entry-title">Why Today’s Foreclosure Numbers Won’t Trigger a Crash</h1><div class="shareBlock"><div class="shareTitle">Share</div><div class="shareIcons"><a aria-label="Twitter Share Link" class="twitter solid display-inline-block" data-tracking="Post,Social Post Link Clicked,Twitter" href="http://twitter.com/share?text=Why+Today%E2%80%99s+Foreclosure+Numbers+Won%E2%80%99t+Trigger+a+Crash&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fgilliggroup.com%2Fblog%2Fwhy-todays-foreclosure-numbers-wont-trigger-a-crash%2F" target="_blank"><span class="force-hidden">Twitter</span></a>
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</div></div><div class="post-tax post-category"><span></span><a href="../category/realtor-blog/index.html" rel="tag">Realtor Blog</a></div><div class="post-tax post-post_tag"></div></div><div class="entry-content"><div><img alt="Why Today’s Foreclosure Numbers Won’t Trigger a Crash Simplifying The Market" decoding="async" loading="lazy" src="https://files.keepingcurrentmatters.com/KeepingCurrentMatters/content/images/20241023/20241024-Why-Today-s-Foreclosure-Numbers-Won-t-Trigger-a-Crash-original.png" style="display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear: both; max-width: 100%;" width=""/>
<p>With everything feeling more expensive these days, it’s natural to worry about how rising costs might impact the <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2024/10/21/what-to-expect-from-mortgage-rates-and-home-prices-in-2025/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">housing market</a>. Many people are concerned that high prices and tighter budgets could cause more homeowners to fall behind on their mortgage payments, leading to a wave of foreclosures.</p>
<p>But before you start worrying about a housing <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2024/10/09/two-reasons-why-the-housing-market-wont-crash/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">market crash</a>, here’s a look at what’s really happening. And the good news is: the latest foreclosure data shows there’s no wave on the horizon.</p>
<h4><strong>How Today’s Market Is Different from 2008</strong></h4>
<p>Let’s ease those fears by looking at the bigger picture. The graph below uses <a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/most-recent/q3-2024-foreclosure-market-report/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">research</a> from <em>ATTOM</em>, a property data provider, to show that the number of homeowners starting the foreclosure process is nowhere near what we saw coming out of 2008. Back then, there was a big spike in how many foreclosures were happening. Today, the number is much lower – it’s even dropped some in the latest report. There’s a big difference between what’s happening now, and what happened when the housing market crashed (<em>see graph below</em>):</p>
<p><a href="https://files.keepingcurrentmatters.com/KeepingCurrentMatters/content/images/20241023/20241024-Foreclosure-Activity-Still-Far-Below-Levels-Seen-During-the-Crash-original.png" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><img alt="a graph of a fall" decoding="async" src="https://files.keepingcurrentmatters.com/KeepingCurrentMatters/content/images/20241023/20241024-Foreclosure-Activity-Still-Far-Below-Levels-Seen-During-the-Crash-original.png"/></a>Just in case you’re wondering why the number of foreclosure filings has ticked up slightly since 2020 and 2021, here’s what you need to know. During those years, there was a moratorium (<em>shown in white</em>) designed to help millions of homeowners avoid foreclosure in challenging times. That’s why the numbers for just a few years ago were so incredibly low. If you look further back, it’s clear overall foreclosure filings are down significantly.</p>
<p>And if you’re wondering: how are there fewer foreclosures today, even when the cost of living has gotten so pricey? Here’s your answer. One of the main reasons is that homeowners today have a lot <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2024/09/09/the-surprising-amount-of-home-equity-youve-gained-over-the-years/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">more equity</a> built up in their homes than they did back in 2008. As an article from <em>Bankrate </em>explains:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>“In the years after the housing crash, millions of foreclosures flooded the housing market, depressing prices. That’s not the case now. Most homeowners have a comfortable equity cushion in their homes.” </em></p></blockquote>
<p>This equity acts like a safety net and is allowing many homeowners to avoid going into foreclosure if they’re facing financial hardships.<strong> </strong>Even if someone is struggling to make their monthly payments, they may be able to sell their home and avoid foreclosure altogether. This is a far cry from the conditions during the crash when homeowners owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth.</p>
<h4><strong>What’s Ahead for the Housing Market</strong></h4>
<p>It’s true that today’s higher cost of living across the board is a challenge for many people right now. But this doesn’t mean we’re heading for a surge in foreclosures. </p>
<p>The equity cushion that people have is helping to keep foreclosure filings low. Today’s homeowners have more options to avoid going into foreclosure.</p>
<h3>Bottom Line</h3>
<p>Yes, everyday costs for gas and food have gotten more expensive—but that doesn’t mean the housing market is on the brink of another foreclosure crisis. Data shows the market is far from a foreclosure wave. Homeowners today are in a much stronger financial position than they were during the 2008 crash, thanks to significant equity. </p>
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