Home Prices Are Not Falling

<article class="post-812047 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry" id="post-812047"><span class="entry-date">October 3, 2023</span><div class="entry-header center-block text-center"><h1 class="entry-title">Home Prices Are Not Falling</h1><div class="shareBlock"><div class="shareTitle">Share</div><div class="shareIcons"><a aria-label="Twitter Share Link" class="twitter solid display-inline-block" data-tracking="Post,Social Post Link Clicked,Twitter" href="http://twitter.com/share?text=Home+Prices+Are+Not+Falling&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fgilliggroup.com%2Fblog%2Fhome-prices-are-not-falling%2F" target="_blank"><span class="force-hidden">Twitter</span></a>
<div class="fb-share-button display-inline-block" data-href="https://gilliggroup.com/blog/home-prices-are-not-falling/" data-layout="" data-size=""><a class="facebook solid fb-xfbml-parse-ignore" data-tracking="Post,Social Post Link Clicked,Twitter" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fgilliggroup.com%2Fblog%2Fhome-prices-are-not-falling%2F&amp;src=sdkpreparse" target="_blank"><span class="force-hidden">Facebook</span></a></div>
<a class="pinterest solid display-inline-block" count-layout="horizontal" href="https://pinterest.com/pin/create/link/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fgilliggroup.com%2Fblog%2Fhome-prices-are-not-falling%2F&amp;description=Home+Prices+Are+Not+Falling" target="_blank"><span class="force-hidden">Pinterest</span></a>
<a class="linkedin solid display-inline-block" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&amp;url=https://gilliggroup.com/blog/home-prices-are-not-falling/?shareSlug%3Dhome-prices-are-not-falling" target="_blank"><span class="force-hidden">LinkedIn</span></a>
<a class="email dashicons dashicons-email solid display-inline-block" href="mailto:?subject=From gilliggroup.com: Home Prices Are Not Falling&amp;body=Home Prices Are Not Falling%0D%0Dhttps://gilliggroup.com/blog/home-prices-are-not-falling/" target="_blank"><span class="force-hidden">Email</span></a>
</div></div><div class="post-tax post-category"><span></span><a href="../category/realtor-blog/index.html" rel="tag">Realtor Blog</a></div><div class="post-tax post-post_tag"></div></div><div class="entry-content"><div><img alt="Home Prices Are Not Falling Simplifying The Market" decoding="async" loading="lazy" src="https://media.agentaprd.com/sites/222/20231003-Home-Prices-Are-Not-Falling.webp" style="display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear: both; max-width: 100%;" width="358"/>
<p>During the fourth<strong> </strong>quarter of last year, some housing experts projected <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2023/09/08/home-price-forecasts-revised-for-2023-infographic/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">home prices</a> were going to crash in 2023. The media ran with those forecasts and put out headlines calling for doom and gloom in the housing market. All of this negative news coverage made a lot of people have doubts about the strength of the residential real estate market.</p>
<p>If it made you question if you should delay your own <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2023/09/22/how-remote-work-helps-with-your-house-hunt-infographic/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">plans to move</a>, here’s what you really need to know.</p>
<h4><strong>Home Prices Never Crashed</strong></h4>
<p>Disregard what you saw in the headlines. The actual <a href="https://www.zillow.com/research/data/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">data</a> shows home prices were <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2023/09/05/expert-home-price-forecasts-revised-up-for-2023/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">remarkably resilient</a> and performed far better than the media would have you believe (<em>see graph below</em>):</p>
<p><a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/content/images/20230929/20231003-Percent-Change-In-Home-Values.png?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" src="https://files.keepingcurrentmatters.com/content/images/20230929/20231003-Percent-Change-In-Home-Values.png"/></a></p>
<p></p>
<p>This graph uses <a href="https://www.blackknightinc.com/data-reports/?" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reports</a> from three trusted <a href="https://www.freddiemac.com/research/indices/house-price-index" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">sources</a> to clearly illustrate prices have <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2023/08/11/home-prices-are-back-on-the-rise-infographic/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">already rebounded</a> after experiencing only slight declines nationally. That’s a far cry from the crash so many articles called for.</p>
<p>The declines that did happen (<em>shown in red</em>), weren’t drastic but were short-lived. As Nicole Friedman, a reporter at the <em>Wall Street Journal</em> (WSJ), <a href="https://www.wsj.com/economy/housing/the-fall-in-home-prices-may-already-be-over-3496d6bb" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">says</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>“</em><strong><em>Home prices aren’t falling anymore</em></strong><em>. . . The surprisingly quick recovery suggests that the residential real-estate downturn is turning out to be shorter and shallower than many housing economists expected . . .”</em></p></blockquote>
<p>Even though some media coverage made a big deal about home prices pulling back, the slight correction that happened is already in the rearview mirror. Basically, this data shows you home prices aren’t falling anymore – they’re actually going back up.</p>
<h4><strong>What’s Next for Home Prices?</strong></h4>
<p><strong>The consensus from experts is that </strong><a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2023/09/12/what-experts-project-for-home-prices-over-the-next-5-years/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><strong>home price growth</strong></a><strong> will continue in the years ahead and is </strong><a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/2023/09/26/the-return-of-normal-seasonality-for-home-price-appreciation/?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><strong>returning to normal</strong></a><strong> levels for the market. </strong>That means we’ll still see home prices appreciating, just at a slower pace than the last few years – and that’s a good thing.</p>
<p>Some news sources will see home price growth slowing and put out stories that make you think prices are falling again. The return of misleading headlines like those is already having an impact on how homebuyers are feeling again. You can see how this affects general opinion in the<em> </em><a href="https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights/surveys-indices/national-housing-survey/national-housing-survey-archive" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Consumer Confidence Survey</em></a><em> </em>from <em>Fannie Mae</em> (<em>see graph below</em>):</p>
<p>  <a href="https://www.simplifyingthemarket.com/content/images/20230929/20231003—of-Americans-Who-Think-Home-Prices-Will-Go-Down-over-the-Next-12-Months.png?a=712984-fa409495d5d70154d03a25e81e9540e2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" src="https://files.keepingcurrentmatters.com/content/images/20230929/20231003—of-Americans-Who-Think-Home-Prices-Will-Go-Down-over-the-Next-12-Months.png"/></a></p>
<p></p>
<p>While the percentage of Americans who think prices will fall has been slowly declining this year, the latest <em>Consumer Confidence</em> data indicates that’s ticked back up recently (<em>shown in red</em>). This change is surprising especially since the home price data shows prices are going up, not down. It tells you the impact the media still has on public opinion.</p>
<p><strong>Don’t fall for the negative headlines and become part of this statistic. Remember, data from a number of sources shows home prices aren’t falling anymore.</strong></p>
<h3>Bottom Line</h3>
<p>Even though the media may make things sound doom and gloom, the data shows home prices aren’t falling anymore. So, don’t let the headlines scare you or delay your plans. Lean on a real estate professional so you have a trusted resource to cut through the noise and tell you what’s really happening in your area.</p>
</div>
</div></article>